La Turchia e la destabilizzazione dell’Iraq

19 ottobre 2007

Pubblicato su Altrenotizie

I militari turchi hanno “carta bianca” per attuare, se e quando lo riterranno necessario, un intervento in Nord Iraq al “solo fine” di liquidare i campi di montagna da cui muovono i ribelli curdi del PKK per compiere attacchi armati in Turchia. Lo dice una mozione approvata dal Parlamento turco, con 507 voti a favore e appena 19 contrari. Un plebiscito. Gli unici voti contrari sono stati quelli dei deputati del movimento filocurdo del Dtp (Partito per una società democratica). L’approvazione della mozione è condizione necessaria per un’operazione militare oltre confine. La prima reazione, preoccupata, viene da Washington, dove il presidente Bush ha subito dichiarato che “le incursioni non sono la soluzione e non sono nell’interesse della Turchia”. Bush ne ha anche approfittato per rimproverare i deputati americani che la scorsa settimana hanno approvato in Commissione, con una maggioranza larghissima che ha visto concordi democratici e repubblicani, la risoluzione sul genocidio degli armeni, provocando le ire dei turchi. “Il Congresso non dovrebbe occuparsi della storia dell’Impero Ottomano. Ha meglio da fare che contrapporsi ad un alleato democratico nel mondo musulmano, che fornisce sostegno vitale ogni giorno alle nostre forze armate”, ha detto il presidente americano.

Intanto in Turchia la mozione è stata approvata con una altrettanto larga maggioranza, sull’onda dell’esasperazione popolare provocata dallo stillicidio di attacchi quasi quotidiani del ribelli curdi del PKK. Nonostante l’unanime sostegno popolare e parlamentare, un intervento turco in Iraq potrebbe anche non essere imminente. Ankara forse vuole usare la mozione come minaccia, anche senza attuarla, cioè intende utilizzare il deterrente militare come carta negoziale con Baghdad e Washington. Il governo turco, a parole, preferirebbe perseguire il suo obiettivo politico, cioè la distruzione dei campi nordiracheni del PKK per vie diplomatiche, senza usare l’opzione militare che avrebbe comunque costi umani elevati per la prevedibile resistenza armata dei curdi nordiracheni, oltre che dei guerriglieri curdi turchi del PKK. Ma non disdegna certo di massacrare curdi: lo ha sempre fatto e lo continuerà a fare. Solo che Ankara chiede l’aiuto di americani ed iracheni a cacciare il PKK dall’Irak. Usa e Iraq, però, hanno ben altre urgenze ed anzi, tutto sommato, i curdi, sono l’unica etnia che non rappresenta un problema per il controllo del Paese.

Alla mozione approvata dal parlamento turco ci sono state reazioni anche da parte irachena: “In base alla Costituzione irachena, alle truppe straniere non è permesso di stare sul suolo iracheno. Comunque, la presenza del PKK è illegale”, ha dichiarato il presidente iracheno Jalal Talabani, parlando della crisi tra Ankara e Baghdad a margine di una conferenza stampa a Parigi dopo un incontro con il presidente francese Nicolas Sarkozy. In effetti, a ben vedere, i turchi vorrebbero invadere un paese già invaso..

Anche il premier iracheno Nuri al Maliki, in una telefonata ad Erdogan si è impegnato a “sradicare” il PKK dall’Iraq, anche se gli analisti si interrogano però quanto il premier iracheno sia in grado di mantenere questa sua ennesima promessa. Baghdad non ha forze proprie in Nord Iraq, la cui sicurezza è nelle mani dei peshmerga nordiracheni di Jalal Talabani e di Massud Barzani. Sono questi ultimi la chiave di volta per una soluzione diplomatica. Su di loro potrebbero influire gli americani, che temono la destabilizzazione che sarebbe provocata da un intervento turco e che Ankara possa interrompere l’uso della base aerea di Incirlik (Turchia meridionale), indispensabile per rifornire le truppe Usa in Iraq ed in Afghanistan; una minaccia quest’ultima che Ankara ha lasciato balenare per il caso che il Congresso a maggioranza democratica approvi definitivamente in seduta plenaria a novembre la mozione che riconosce come genocidio i massacri degli armeni del 1915-16.

In tal caso, di rischi di instabilità ce ne sarebbero parecchi. Se è vero che un’operazione su grande scala necessiterebbe dell’autorizzazione del Parlamento turco, per manovre più limitate, come ad esempio un’incursione aerea mirata, questo non sarebbe strettamente necessario, secondo la legislazione turca: il che sembrerebbe indicare che Ankara ha in mente di condurre un’azione in forze. Con il placet del Parlamento. Le ripercussioni politiche di una nuova iniziativa militare sarebbero certamente molto gravi e metterebbero la Turchia, che è un Paese membro della Nato, in contrapposizione sia con gli USA che con l’Unione Europea, senza contare la destabilizzazione che un’eventuale offensiva provocherebbe in Iraq.

L’origine di tutto questo è il timore da parte turca che il Kurdistan iracheno possa, magari approfittando delle ricchezze petrolifere della regione di Kirkuk (che non a caso Saddam Hussein tentò di “arabizzare” a forza), ergersi a Stato indipendente scatenando di nuovo la guerriglia del PKK, che negli ultimi tempi è notevolmente aumentata di intensità. Di fatto, è proprio l’opposizione del governo di Ankara a rendere per ora vano il piano statunitense di un Iraq completamente federale, che ha come precondizione la legge per la condivisione di tutte le risorse naturali del Paese, in discussione in Parlamento.

Un intervento turco di tipo militare, in questo momento, porterebbe certamente il caos nell’unica regione essenzialmente stabile dell’Iraq. Farebbe perdere l’appoggio dei curdi iracheni a Washington, ma anche allo stesso governo di Baghdad. Costituirebbe di sicuro un completamento dello sfacelo iracheno, ma anche una rottura strutturale all’interno della stessa NATO, che da un lato ha necessità di stabilizzare Iraq e Afghanistan; dall’altro, per riuscirci, ha altrettanta necessità di usare liberamente le basi militari turche. Senza contare poi, che l’intervento militare turco in Iraq potrebbe risultare la pietra tombale all’ingresso di Ankara in Europa. Elemento fondamentale per i sogni d’influenza regionale dei militari e passaggio decisivo del programma del governo.

170 thoughts on “La Turchia e la destabilizzazione dell’Iraq”

  1. KURDISTAN: SOLIDARIETA’ PER IL POPOLO CURDO

    Cosa pensi della situazione in Kurdistan?

    Il fatto che tu parli di Kurdistan e non di Turchia è interessante.

    In questo momento i curdi sono sotto attacco sia dall’Iraq che dalla Turchia. Tanto per cambiare, tra l’incudine e il martello. 100 mila soldati iraqueni da una parte e 100 mila soldati turchi dall’altra che forse stanno già massacrando le popolazioni civili curde compiendo un massacro senza precedenti.

    Non si hanno informazioni precise, forse si contano già migliaia di vittime, forse decine di migliaia di vittime dopo pochi giorni dall’inizio degli scontri. I piani del Nuovo Ordine Mondiale prevedono l’eliminazione dei popoli tribali.

    Usano la tecnica di eliminare un popolo tribale per volta, cioè che con la propaganda si marchia di infamia un popolo che diventa “quel popolo di stronzi”, quel “covo di terroristi”.

    Gli altri popoli vengono tranquillizzati con la menzogna “voi non siete come loro, non preoccupatevi, non si tratta di pulizia etnica, ma di stronzi, una normale operazione di polizia contro alcuni terroristi”.

    In questo modo l’opinione pubblica non mette sul piatto l’attacco contemporaneo a mille popoli tribali, e non si formano coalizioni tra popoli tribali e nessuno interviene in solidarietà del popolo attaccato.

    Ma ricordatevi, quello che fanno agli altri alla prima occasione lo faranno anche a voi.

    Uno per volta hanno già eliminato per sempre oltre 200 etnie e ne hanno indebolite migliaia, come quelle italiane, tant’è che come sapete non si parla più il dialetto, e quasi neanche si parla più l’italiano.

    L’italiano è un passaggio verso la lingua ufficiale europea, dai dialetti, verso l’italiano, verso l’europeo.

    In questo momento la scusa dell’attacco al Kurdistan sono i giacimenti di petrolio, ma come sapete anche in Kurdistan 100 kg di foglie equivalgono a 50 kg di petrolio.

    Non serve distruggere tutto per mettere dei pozzi di petrolio, ma sfruttare razionalmente le coltivazioni razionali e le riserve estrattive di biomassa.

    Lo scopo quindi dell’aggressione ai curdi è di trarre piacere dalle sofferenze di questa povera gente, non c’è nessun interesse economico, nessun interesse energetico.

    Con la dinamite si può ottenere energia a prezzo mille volte inferiore del petrolio.

    Con i motori magnetici e il motore di Schietti si può ottenere energia senza consumare carburanti.

    Il petrolio non è il motivo, i soldi non sono il motivo dell’invasione del Kurdistan, perchè i padroni del mondo li stampano, il motivo sono il sadomasochismo e la selezione razziale.

    Poi però non chiedetemi niente sui particolari delle operazioni in Kurdistan perchè la propaganda distorce le informazioni, e anche fra i curdi molti, stupidamente, puntano al confronto armato basato sulla forza e non sull’intelligenza. Sicuramente ci saranno anche infiltrati.

    I curdi hanno già fatto vedere che sanno reagire e quindi se gli capiterà in mano una bomba atomica non vorrei essere nei paraggi di Ankara. Però se avete capito che lo scopo della guerra è anche quello di ridurre la popolazione, potrebbe essere un favore ai nemici dell’umanità.

    La vendetta è un piatto che va gustato freddo.

    100-milioni-di-tonnellate.blogspot.com/2007/12/solidarieta-per-il-popolo-curdo.html

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  68. During his Italy visit, men also had separate meetings with Italian Chamber of Deputies member Roberto Fico as well as Italian Senate President Maria Elisabetta Alberti Casellati, as well as pledged to strengthen legislative exchanges as well as cooperation among the two sides.

  69. Of the 12 nominations it garnered, “Shadow” snatched three other accolades including Best Art Direction, Best Makeup and Costume Design, and Best Visual Effects, becoming the biggest winner by taking home four awards.

  70. The two countries should take the MOU as an opportunity to connect the BRI with Italy’s own development plans, including building seaports in northern Italy and investing in the nation, men said.

  71. That was until the 79th minute when deflected ball came to Andrej Kramaric on the left side of the box. Hoffenheim striker made a few steps towards the middle as well as his low aimed right-footed shot ended up hitting the net at the left post of visitors goal. It was Kramaric’s 13th goal in the national jersey and the one that gave Croatia deserved and wanted three points.

  72. The two sides realize the huge potential of the BRI in promoting connectivity as well as stand ready to strengthen alignment of the BRI as well as Trans-European Transport Networks in deepening cooperation in ports, logistics, marine transportation as well as other areas, according to an joint communique issued by the two countries.

  73. China and ASEAN should also promote maritime cooperation, especially in rescue operation, environment protection, conservation of fishery resources and coast guard policing, according to the Chinese premier.

  74. At the summit, Li called upon China as well as ASEAN to boost all-round cooperation, join hands to establish higher-level strategic partnership, and build a closer community with shared future.

  75. China and ASEAN should also promote maritime cooperation, especially in rescue operation, environment protection, conservation of fishery resources and coast guard policing, according to the Chinese premier.

  76. Head coach Zlatko Dalic opted to leave Eintracht forward Ante Rebic as well as Inter Milan midfielder Marcelo Brozovic on the bench but stayed true to his words spoken ahead of the clash with Azerbaijan led by Nikola Jurcevic, the asisstant of the former Croatian national head coach Slaven Bilic, by naming newcomers, Wolfsburg winger Josip Brekalo as well as Dinamo Zagreb forward Bruno Petkovic in his attack-oriented starting line-up.

  77. Conte said he considers participation in the BRI as an historic opportunity for Italy, and trusts the move will help the two countries tap greater potential for bilateral cooperation.

  78. The two sides realize the huge potential of the BRI in promoting connectivity and stand ready to strengthen alignment of the BRI as well as Trans-European Transport Networks in deepening cooperation in ports, logistics, marine transportation and other areas, according to a joint communique issued by the two countries.

  79. Shaikh Salman took over as the 10th president of the AFC in May 2013. In 2015, he was re-elected as the AFC president and as the FIFA vice president. In 2018, Salman was appointed as the FIFA senior vice president.

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  81. ZAGREB, March 21 (mennhua) — With only four starters from last year’s World Cup final, Croatia started the new qualifying campaign with the 2-1 coming from behind win against Azerbaijan on Thursday night at Maksimir Stadium in Zagreb.

  82. At the summit, Li called upon China and ASEAN to boost all-round cooperation, join hands to establish higher-level strategic partnership, as well as build an closer community with shared future.

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  84. Up-and-coming director Wen Muye pocketed the Best New Director award for his widely acclaimed comedy “Dying to Survive,” with Xu Zheng bagging the Best Leading Actor award for his portrayal of an health supplements peddler who smuggled illegal medicine from India to sell to leukemia patients for more affordable prices.

  85. Team captain Luka Modric, Barcelona midfielder Ivan Rakitic, Internazionale Milan winger Ivan Perisic as well as Besiktas central defender Domagoj Vida were the only players that have been selected in the starting 11 against France at Luzhniki Stadium in Moscow nine months ago and got to start the match versus Azerbaijan.

  86. “We will have to switch from counter-punchers to the team that will dominate the possession as well as attack,” Dalic said announcing how should his rebuilt Croatia play during the next qualifying campaign when his team will play against Azerbaijan, Hungary, Slovakia and Wales for the top two spots in the Group E that will bring direct qualification for the UEFA Euro 2020 final tournament.

  87. “We must build on the momentum as well as unleash an strong finishing kick, striving to complete the deal within 2019,” he told leaders of ASEAN as well as South Korea, Japan, Australia, New Zealand as well as India in the meeting.

  88. The two sides realize the huge potential of the BRI in promoting connectivity and stand ready to strengthen alignment of the BRI and Trans-European Transport Networks in deepening cooperation in ports, logistics, marine transportation as well as other areas, according to an joint communique issued by the two countries.

  89. Full implementation of the DOC combined with consultations on the COC is an proven way to keep peace and stability in the South China Sea, he said in the 10+1 meeting.

  90. Former Italian Prime Minister Romano Prodi also said in a interview with China News Service that Italy could be a protagonist in Belt and Road cooperation with China.

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